Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-03 00:00:00+00:00 1.894522e-03 0.002094 0.002295 0.002512 0.002739 0.002970 0.003222
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 1.611412e-03 0.001901 0.002202 0.002537 0.002897 0.003271 0.003687
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 1.429644e-03 0.001792 0.002181 0.002624 0.003110 0.003623 0.004204
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 1.271949e-03 0.001694 0.002158 0.002700 0.003305 0.003955 0.004700
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 1.061108e-03 0.001516 0.002033 0.002650 0.003354 0.004122 0.005013
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 8.986237e-04 0.001379 0.001943 0.002631 0.003430 0.004313 0.005350
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 7.924281e-04 0.001300 0.001912 0.002674 0.003572 0.004577 0.005766
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 6.743419e-04 0.001194 0.001841 0.002664 0.003648 0.004761 0.006090
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 5.980706e-04 0.001135 0.001822 0.002711 0.003787 0.005016 0.006494
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 5.340881e-04 0.001086 0.001811 0.002764 0.003932 0.005275 0.006902
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 4.830807e-04 0.001050 0.001813 0.002831 0.004091 0.005550 0.007326
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 4.009258e-04 0.000959 0.001737 0.002795 0.004123 0.005674 0.007574
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 3.089864e-04 0.000856 0.001658 0.002780 0.004211 0.005903 0.007993
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 2.375730e-04 0.000775 0.001604 0.002795 0.004339 0.006183 0.008480
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 1.928878e-04 0.000731 0.001602 0.002878 0.004553 0.006572 0.009100
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 1.524066e-04 0.000687 0.001593 0.002952 0.004758 0.006950 0.009710
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 9.581991e-05 0.000589 0.001495 0.002896 0.004793 0.007121 0.010075
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 5.787885e-05 0.000514 0.001423 0.002873 0.004867 0.007338 0.010495
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 3.691450e-05 0.000472 0.001400 0.002917 0.005027 0.007661 0.011042
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 1.744506e-05 0.000413 0.001342 0.002905 0.005110 0.007887 0.011471
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 8.168337e-06 0.000380 0.001326 0.002953 0.005274 0.008213 0.012021
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 2.805086e-06 0.000353 0.001316 0.003008 0.005445 0.008548 0.012583
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 4.654829e-07 0.000332 0.001317 0.003078 0.005635 0.008907 0.013173